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Senior Insights Analyst

* Salário: R$ 2.000 a R$ 5.000 por mês (estimado)

* O valor exibido é uma estimativa calculada com base em dados públicos e referências do mercado. Não garantimos que este seja o salário oferecido para esta vaga específica.

Área: Outros

Nível: Senior

Overview of the role:

We are seeking an Analyst with strong analytical and statistical foundations to join the Commercial Insights & Analytics team at Confidencial (Apenas para Cadastrados).This is NOT a dashboard builder role. We need someone who thinks like a analyst, asks hard questions about data, and can go from raw uncertainty to confident commercial recommendations through rigorous analysis.As the analytical engine behind commercial decisions, you'll be responsible for:
  • Designing and executing analyses that answer "why" not just "what"
  • Building statistical models that inform pricing, risk management, and customer strategy
  • Translating ambiguous business problems into structured analytical frameworks
  • Communicating uncertainty and trade-offs to commercial stakeholders**This role sits between commercial strategy and execution.** You won't be building ML pipelines or maintaining dashboards—you'll be solving hard problems that directly impact P&L.

What you’ll do:

  • **Strategic Analysis (60% of your time):**
    • Design analytical approaches for ambiguous commercial questions
    • Conduct root cause analysis of business performance (why did margin drop? why are customers churning?)
    • Build models to understand customer behavior, lifetime value, and segment performance
    • Run statistical tests to validate hypotheses and measure impact of initiatives
    • Quantify trade-offs between competing strategies (growth vs margin, acquisition vs retention)
  • **Experimentation & Measurement (25%):**
    • Design A/B tests and analyze results with appropriate statistical rigor
    • Build frameworks to measure incrementality of marketing campaigns and promotions
    • Evaluate pricing strategies and bonus structures through expected value analysis
    • Apply probability concepts to betting market analysis and risk assessment
  • **Communication (15%):**
    • Synthesize complex analyses into clear, actionable recommendations for CCO and commercial Leaders
    • Present findings that balance analytical depth with business accessibility
    • Defend assumptions and methodology when challenged by stakeholders
  • **What this role is NOT:**
    • Building automated dashboards or reports
    • Maintaining data pipelines or infrastructure
    • Running ML models without understanding the math
    • Creating PowerBI visualizations

What you’ll bring:

## Must Have:
**Strong statistical foundations:** You understand inference, hypothesis testing, regression, probability distributions—and more importantly, when to apply each
**Comfort with ambiguity:** You can take "why are we losing money on this segment?" and structure it into an answerable analytical question
**SQL mastery:** Complex queries, CTEs, window functions are second nature. You think in sets, not loops
**Business judgment:** You know when a model is "good enough" vs when you need more precision
**Intellectual honesty:** You're comfortable saying "the data doesn't support that conclusion" even when stakeholders want different answers### Strongly Preferred:
  • Academic background in **Statistics, Mathematics, Physics, Economics, or Engineering**
  • Experience translating business problems into analytical frameworks
  • Familiarity with causal inference concepts (difference-in-differences, propensity scores, etc.)
  • Python/R for statistical analysis (not for ML production)
  • Experience in high-velocity commercial environments (e-commerce, fintech, betting, marketplace)### Nice to Have:
  • Exposure to betting/gaming metrics (GGR, margin, liability)
  • Experience with experimentation platforms
-Bayesian statistics application-

What you won't be doing

Building or maintaining dashboards (we have BI for that)
Creating weekly reports (automated already)
ETL or data engineering work
Machine learning model development
Ad-hoc data pulls for stakeholders**If you love building dashboards more than solving problems, this isn't the right role.**

Benefits:

✨ Competitive compensation package
Remote-first work environment
Health plan (Bradesco Saúde Nacional with co-participation)
Dental plan (Bradesco Odonto Nacional)
Meal allowance through Caju (flexible benefits card)
Access to TotalPass (health & wellness program)
Individual learning & development budget
Childcare assistance for children up to 6 years old
️ Life insurance


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